We have been asked to be a part of a weekly fantasy football roundtable debate, where a group of fantasy Sites attack the same question and we interlink the content within each of our Sites. This week the article is hosted here at FantasyFootballXtreme.com. The Weekly Article is called "Fantasy Roundtable: Fourth & 1 Debate” and it will feature a different question each and every week.
So here is the question as we head into Week 8:
He was my buy-low guy last week, or at least one of them, but I have to roll with my boy Greg Jennings again this week when it comes to buying low. I know I plastered this all over FFX last week, and I know Jennings didn’t quite deliver, but I still firmly believe we will see the Greg Jennings of old here real soon. Jennings has actually had two 100-yard games this season, but it is safe to say he is in a slump. Jennings is more than proven, though, and so is Aaron Rodgers… The two have a phenomenal rapport, and with the reemergence of Donald Driver, Jennings should finally get open and have that big game fantasy owners have been waiting for. Jennings could be the best buy-low player moving forward. Expect a huge Week 8 out of that entire Green Bay passing attack and expect Jennings’ slump to quickly become a distant memory. My runner-up for best buy-low moving forward is once again Matt Forte. I said to buy-low last week, but Chicago just didn’t run the football — That offense was was too busy in Week 7 trying to pass their way back into that horirble loss to Cincy. That was last week… this is this week… Forte faces the second-to-last ranked Browns rushing defense in Week 8, a unit that surrenders over 170 rushing yards per game.
I covered a couple of running backs to stash last week, so this week’s player will come in the receiving game: the Green Bay Packers’ Greg Jennings. Green Bay is shifting to a shorter passing game, which should see their wideouts running more slants and hitches; Jennings is a dangerous receiver with the ball in his hands (16.0 yards per reception). He has improved over the last two weeks with 11 receptions for 116 yards; still not great numbers considering his No. 1 fantasy WR status … but an encouraging sign.
Both tackles Chad Clifton (ankle) and Mark Tauscher (knee) should solidify the offensive line when they return, at least for pass blocking, giving quarterback Aaron Rodgers more time to throw. The Packers schedule has some tasty opponents for opposing wideouts in the second half, too. In the common playoff weeks (Weeks 14 through 16) they face the Chicago Bears, Pittsburgh Steelers and Seattle Seahawks, respectively. Each game is favorable for wideouts. Prior to that, they face the Detroit Lions (Week 12) and Baltimore Ravens (Week 13) – another two favorable matchups.
Buying low can be tough when dealing with an experienced league but even the most experienced Fantasy Football players make mistakes. Buying low can be dangerous so I’m going with a safe buy low candidate, Randy Moss. Moss’s name supersedes his play thus far and he has only found the endzone in two of his last seven games. You’ll want to package him with one of your low end starting wideouts and a RB with big potential like Shonn Greene. New England has already started to dust off it’s deep ball and the bye week should help further the rhythm between Moss and Brady.
The player that intrigues me the most though is Jason Witten. Witten has just 312 yards in six games (52 yards/game) with 1 TD. Not exactly elite Tight End numbers. It’s not from lack of involvement in the passing game though. He has 33 receptions, which is good for an average of 5.5 per game. With the emergence of Miles Austin, Witten should find seams in the middle of the field as they look to take away the deep threat.
There are a few reasons I think Witten could come available. Obviously whoever drafted Witten used an early pick on him. They aren’t exactly getting the return on investment they anticipated. There’s a good chance that Witten owners are struggling because of that.
Another reason he could be available is the emergence of several Tight Ends that were initially drafted to be backups. Vernon Davis, Visanthe Shiancoe, Heath Miller, and Brent Celek are a few TEs that have gained the confidence of fantasy owners. If they feel they can upgrade in another area, Witten could come available.
He still carries a big name so you’ll still have to pay to get him. The price tag is just lower right now than it’s been in years.
For me, the biggest buy low candidate for the rest of the season has got to be LaDanian Tomlinson. He’s been banged up a bit over the first seven weeks of the season and when he’s been on the field, he hasn’t performed spectacular. The past two weeks, however, he’s shown a little bit of that old spark, rushing for 70 and 71 yards, respectively.
In Week 8 he gets the Raiders (30th ranked rushing defense), who just got torched on the ground by Thomas Jones & Shonn Greene, each surpassing 100 yards. Also on the schedule moving forward (with their current ranking in yards per game allowed) include the Browns (29), Chiefs (25) & Redskins (24). Those are four games where he has the potential to really shine, while also getting teams like the Giants and Cowboys, who are right in the middle of the pack.
He’s only rushed for 211 yards thus far this season and only scored a touchdown in Week 1. Things can only go up from here and with the prospects of some big games on the horizon, it’s worth finding out if someone is willing to sell low on him.
New York Jets rookie running back Shonn Greene showed exactly why many fantasy owners were targeting him late in fantasy drafts this year. This past Sunday Greene slashed through the Oakland Raider defense all day, gaining 20 yards or more on three separate attempts. Greene picked up his first career 100-yard game and his first two NFL touchdowns against the Raiders. Leon Washington is likely done for the year with a compound fracture that required surgery meaing Green will see increased time the rest of the season for the Jets.
More importantly, as we look ahead a little, Greene and the Jets will face the Panthers, Bills and Buccaneers Weeks 12-14. Why does this matter, well, it’s when you are making the push for and starting the fantasy playoffs.The Jets like having a two back system, which means Greene will get plenty of opportunity for the Jets and your fantasy team.
Greg Jennings. He’s been a minor piece of the Green Bay offense thus far, and many of Jennings’ owners could probably be convinced that he’s taken a backseat to Donald Driver. But that is not the case.
While the Packers’ offensive line has limited Aaron Rodgers chances to get Jennings the ball, I think Jennings could be poised to turn things around as the line improves and gets healthy. The Packers will not allow him to be a non-factor this entire season, and as a piece of one of the most potent passing games this year, Jennings is worth gambling on for the final weeks of this season.
Try packaging a WR2 in a trade and getting Jennings "thrown in" on the deal. Jennings’ owners will think they’re getting rid of a stagnant piece of their team, but you’ll have a bargain receiver who could turn into one of the top-10 at his position in the second half.
There are a number of wide receivers that could make great ‘buy-low’ prospects as we enter the 2nd half of the fantasy season. For example Carolina’s Steve Smith and Anquan Boldin are two players who have a solid history of standout performance, but are significantly lagging their respective career averages at this point in the season.
Maybe a safer option however is at runningback, where I believe Buffalo’s Marshawn Lynch might be extremely under-valued because of his early season suspension and relatively slow start. Lynch has been remarkably consistent in his early career, with about 1,300 total yards from scrimmage, an average 4 yards per carry, and over 7 TDs in each of his first two seasons. In 2009 however, Lynch is on pace for just 565 rush yards and has scored just once so far. Despite being a part of the sputtering Buffalo Bills offense, and likely sharing carries with Fred Jackson the rest of the way, Lynch should pick up his pace down the stretch and might be a good player to target in a trade if you need help at runningback.
Related Tags » 2009 fantasy football • 4th and 1 debate • Aaron Rodgers • advice • article • buy low • Fantasy Football Blogs • fantasy roundtable • fourth and 1 • Greg Jennings • jason witten • LaDainian Tomlinson • Marshawn Lynch • Matt Forte • Randy Moss • roundtable • santonio holmes • shonn greene • steve smith anquan boldin