Week 8: Start & Bench

10/23/2012 10:20 am by in Fantasy Football Articles, Fantasy Football Expert Analysis, Start Bench Advice

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The Bills, Ravens, Bengals and Texans are on bye this week. Start your studs! Trust your gut! Win the game! You won’t find the “usual suspects” listed here.

Start

  • Philip Rivers: Cleveland has allowed multiple touchdowns to opposing quarterback in five of their seven games this year with four quarterbacks passing for three touchdowns. The Browns continue to be a top five fantasy matchup for quarterbacks. Only Andrew Luck in Week 7 and Ryan Fitzpatrick in Week 3 failed to throw for at least 259 yards and only Luck and Joe Flacco failed to have a multiple touchdown game. Philip Rivers has a three game streak with two touchdown passes. He may have some doubters after four interceptions in his last game but this is a great matchup for him and the Chargers. 263/2

  • Brandon Weeden:Brandon Weeden faces a Chargers defense that is a top six fantasy matchup for opposing quarterbacks. The Chargers have surrendered multiple touchdown passes in four consecutive games. Weeden has a three game streak of multiple touchdowns This one could be another shootout. 259/2

  • Andrew Luck: Opposing quarterbacks have at least two touchdown passes this year in six of seven games against the Titans. The lone game they did not give up multiple touchdowns Ben Roethlisberger threw for 363 yards. While Andrew Luck has not thrown a touchdown pass in two weeks the Titans should allow him to get back in a groove.

  • Ben Roethlisberger: >Ben Roethlisberger continues a strong season for his fantasy owners as he faces off against a Redskins’ defense that has allowed 15 touchdown passes on the year and an average of over 300 yards passing per game. If his receivers can limit drops he could exceed these projections. 274/2

  • Carson Palmer: The Chiefs have allowed opposing quarterbacks 13 passing touchdowns, two touchdowns or better in five of six games. Carson Palmer has thrown for at least 290 yards in four of six games. While Palmer has had only one multiple touchdown game he is a strong start this week for teams needing a bye week fill in. 293/2

  • Chris Johnson: Chris Johnson has produced in three of his last four games. The Colts have allowed a rushing touchdown in four of their last six games. Johnson is RB1 this week at home against the Colts. 93/1

  • Willis McGahee: The Saints have allowed seven touchdowns to opposing running backs and right now they are one of the best fantasy matchups a running back could ask for. Willis McGahee has been involved in the passing game of late and should produce double digit fantasy points for you this week in what promises to be a shootout at Mile High Stadium. A combined 100 +total yards with 4 receptions and a TD.

  • Vick Ballard: This may be Vick Ballard’s last shot at making a strong impression. Going against a Titan run defense that is a top five matchup in fantasy for running backs Vick Ballard should be good for a RB3 flex play. 73 yards

  • Alex Green: The Jaguars are one of the top matchups for running backs in fantasy. They are ranked 29th against the run, allowing 147 ypg with seven touchdowns on the season. Even though Alex Green had a horrendous game last week the Packers stuck with him throughout the game. He’s gotten 20 carries or more in each game he’s started. Unless something changes during the week with another 20 carry day Green should produce flex numbers, at least. 74/1

  • Reggie Bush: Running backs produce on the ground and out of the backfield against this years Jets’ rush defense. Reggie Bush should continue to start as a solid RB2 this week. 64/1 with another 24 yards on three receptions.

  • Rashad Jennings: Rashad Jennings is the top waiver wire add for this week. With Maurice Jones-Drew missing a month or more Jennings will step in as the workhorse back for the Jaguars offense. He’ll be a RB2 most weeks and not worse than a flex others. With the Packers on tap this week Jennings has potential for 100 total yards and a touchdown as the Packers have given up three rushing touchdowns over the past two games.

  • Kenny Britt: Will Kenny Britt get the targets? Over the last four games the pattern has been 11/5/11/6 so it might seem that this week he should see close to double digit targets.The Colts have allowed 11 touchdowns to opposing receivers in six games. Regardless of the quarterback Britt has too much upside as a WR3 not to use him this week.

  • Chris Givens: Chris Givens’ speed should burn the Patriots secondary for at least one 50 yard reception and possibly a score. New England has allowed 11 touchdowns to opposing receivers. With Givens getting more snaps and targets he worth a look as a WR3/flex play for you in ppr leagues. If he got more targets he could mirror the production of Jeremy Kerley last week. 4/47/1

  • Jeremy Kerley: Jeremy Kerley is evolving into the WR1 for the Jets. He led the team in targets last week (11) and has produced at least 5/94 in two of the last three games. The Dolphin secondary is a good matchup (top ten) for fantasy purposes. 5/84

  • Malcolm Floyd: Cleveland has given up 12 passing touchdowns and multiple touchdowns to the position in four of seven games. Despite the presence of Joe Haden in the secondary Malcolm Floyd should be good for 5/68.

  • Lance Moore: In any other game Lance Moore could easily be moved to the bench list if Jimmy Graham suits up. Moore does most of his damage in domes but in the last three games he’s been active he’s posted double digit fantasy points in ppr leagues. Even with a healthy Graham, this will be a shoot-out and Moore should be able to once again produce double digit numbers in ppr leagues. 5/73/1

  • Heath Miller: The Redskins struggle against good tight ends and he most likely won’t be needed to pass protect. 5/57

  • Marcellus Bennett: Marcellus Bennett is over his knee injury and despite the matchup he should once again be a red zone target. 4/47/1

  • Dustin Keller: The Dolphins are a middle of the road matchup for tight ends. Dustin Keller will be a top two receiving target for the Jets going forward. 5/72

Bench

  • Mike Vick: I won’t be sitting Mike Vick this week but owners might want to grab Nick Foles now. The Falcons are a top six unit against fantasy quarterbacks. They have 10 interceptions on the year, have allowed only one quarterback to pass for over 258 yards in a game and have surrendered only one multiple touchdown game to the position. Vick has been sacked 17 times and has absorbed an amazing 52 quarterback hits on the year. This is a game Vick could have multiple turnovers, multiple touchdowns or both!.

  • Christian Ponder: This is a Jekyll and Hyde situation. Twice in the last four games the coaches have gone to a conservative (paralytic) offense with second half leads. In the other two games Ponder has averaged at least 250 passing yards with two touchdowns. What will the coaches do? Why put yourself through the stress?

  • Matthew Stafford: The Seahawks have contained Tony Romo, Aaron Rodgers and Cam Newton this season while picking off six passes. Matthew Stafford has yet to throw more than one touchdown pass in a game and has seven interceptions. You may not be able to sit him but only Tom Brady has thrown for more than 251 yards against them. 254/1

  • Shonn Greene: Shonn Greene has had solid outings in consecutive games but the Dolphins are very tough to run on and they’ve had a week to game plan. In their last meeting in Week 3 Shonn Greene could manage only 40 rushing yards. Greene should get you about 63 rushing yards, but the Dolphins have not allowed a rushing touchdown since Week 1.

  • Michael Turner: If you haven’t tried to trade Michael Turner yet, now is a good time. The Eagles have surrendered only one rushing touchdown while Turner is averaging 60 ypg on the ground over the first six games. When teams jump up on the Falcons they naturally abandon the run. With the Eagles, Cowboys and Saints (twice) on the upcoming schedule Turner may not get as many carries as owners need.

  • Steven Jackson: The Patriots have only allowed two touchdowns on the year to an opposing running back. Meanwhile the Patriots have held Chris Johnson, Fred Jackson, C.J.Spiller and Marshawn Lynch to 51 rushing yards or less. Running backs have had good success on passes out of the backfield but Jackson isn’t getting the targets out of the backfield. If 65 yards or so are enough…

  • Rashard Mendenhall: Even IF he plays – not against a Redskin run defense who has not allowed more than 80 total rushing yards in the last five games.

  • Brian Hartline: Since Week 3 only one team has produced more than 88 yards against the Jets secondary and the Jets have not surrendered a passing touchdown since Week 1. The Dolhins have stated they will focus on getting Hartline the ball but the Jets have the luxury of putting Antonio Cromartie on him in single coverage. 4/56

  • Brandon Lloyd: In two of the last three games Brandon Lloyd has delivered single digit fantasy points. No matter who covers him it seems they are right on his shoulder and it take a perfect combination of pass and catch for a completion. The Rams boast a very good cornerback duo in Cortland Finnegan and rookie Janoris Jenkins. The Rams also have a potent pass rush producing the 21 sacks (3rd best) so far in the season. Lloyd’s struggles could continue this week with Tom Brady facing more pressure (14 sacks / 30 QB hits).

  • Dwayne Bowe Brady Quinn, ’nuff said.

  • Jared Cook: The Colts do a pretty good job against the tight end. The are currently the top ranked defense against this position having allowed only one score on the season and and average of 2/20 per game. 3/35

  • Jason Witten: The Giants have not allowed a score by a tight end yet this season. They’ve handled Jason Witten, Greg Olsen, Brent Celek and Vernon Davis. Jason Witten is finally healthy but this could be a very tough matchup for him. 4/48

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2 Comments so far

  1. takbax October 23rd, 2012 10:28 am

    Another great write up… Thanks Tav. MJD has had a pretty crappy year considering his team. I Spiller and Fjax are on bye and i could use Rashad Jennings, but, i’m not sure he’d numbers better than they do even splitting time. I absolutely need help this week, but, after would i be able to trade him off for a top 10 WR?Is Rashad Jennings worth a waiver wire only if i really get one week out of it?

  2. Tavaner October 23rd, 2012 10:50 am

    Rashad Jennings looks to have RB2 potential for the rest year or at least for the next 4-6 weeks depending on MJD’s foot. I’d add him without hesitation. In Week 11 against the Texans you might not use him but other than that he should be in the mix. He was the workhorse running back yesterday with total of 28 touches; 21 carries and seven receptions.

    Depth is necessary and going four deep can only help if anyone gets dinged up..and the deeper we go in the season the more likely that will happen. Value wise you might be able to move him for a WR2 after a few good games but that would happen only in ppr leagues. I wouldn’t trade him.

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