Week 11: Start & Bench

11/13/2012 10:49 am by in Fantasy Football Articles, Fantasy Football Expert Analysis, Start Bench Advice

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The Titans, Giants, Vikings and Seahawks are on bye this week. Start your studs! Trust your gut! Win the game! You won’t find the “usual suspects” listed here.

Start

  • Andrew Luck: Andrew Luck faces the 29th ranked pass defense and should be in your lineup despite the record Bill Belichick has against rookie quarterbacks. Luck has top five potential this week and don’t forget, he has five rushing touchdowns this season. 334/2 with upside.

  • Carson Palmer: Carson Palmer is at home against a Saints defense that gives up over 300 passing yards per game. With 45 passes thrown in three of his last four games and the running game in question Palmer may have the best matchup of any quarterback and could be a top three quarterback in production this week. Palmer has multiple touchdown passes in three consecutive games. 300/2 with upside

  • Tony Romo: The Browns have surrendered 16 touchdown passes. They do play better at home but this week they visit Dallas. Tony Romo should have a strong game, the effectiveness of the Dallas/Cleveland run games will determine how many passing yards he puts up. 272/2

  • Ryan Fitzpatrick: The Dolphins surrender 278 passing yards per game. With Fred Jackson out for this week Ryan Fitzpatrick could again have a strong game as a spot starter if you need him. He has been inconsistent but after all the quarterback injuries in Week 10 you might need him. 268/2

  • Nick Foles: Nick Foles went 22/32 passes for 219 yards, one touchdown and one interception stepping in cold for Michael Vick last week. If you are desperate Foles could be used as a fill in this week with this matchup as he does have some weapons to work with. The Redskins give up over 300 yards passing a game and are the second most favorable matchup for quarterbacks. 288/2

  • C.J.Spiller: C.J. Spiller put up some big numbers early in the season when he was the featured back. The Bills ran against a previously tough Patriot front seven; the Titans did the same the the Dolphins. The Bills and Dolphins have a short week as they play on Thursday night. Fred Jackson is out for this game and C.J. Spiller is a high end RB2 this week despite the matchup. 120 combined yards.

  • Stevan Ridley: The Colts give up 120 ypg on the ground. Stevan Ridley delivers against vulneralble run defenses and has scored in consecutive games averaging over 100 rushing ypg. He could be in line for a big day if the Pats use the run game to limit Andrew Luck’s time of possession. 108/1.

  • Felix Jones: It is with some trepidation that Felix Jones is listed this week. There may be no more enigmatic fantasy running back than Jones but he has a very good matchup against a Brown team giving up an average of 132 ypg on the ground. With Chris Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Ahmad Bradshaw and Marshawn Lynch on bye this week Jones has low end RB2/flex value. Owners will have to monitor the status of Demarco Murray this week but if Jones starts he should produce about 100 total yards.

  • Steven Jackson: Steven Jackson enjoyed the return of Danny Amendola as he ran for over 100 yards with a score last week against a very good 49er defense. Jackson got the bulk of the work at running back last week, this week Jackson faces a Jets defense ranked 30th against the run. Jackson looks like an RB2 against the Jets producing over 90 total yards and a score.

  • Denarius Moore/Darrius Heyward-Bey: The Saints are the premier matchups for wide receivers. Both should deliver 5/78/1 as a baseline as the Raiders continue to throw the ball over 45 times a games.

  • Donnie Avery: Donnie Avery has 21 receptions over his last five games and against a very beatable secondary he has WR3 value in ppr leagues. 4/71

  • Brian Hartline: Brian Hartline is on a short week but he should be able to produce against the 21st ranked pass defense. Consider him a low end WR2 for this matchup. 5/76/1

  • Lance Moore: The Raiders are 24th against the pass and Lance Moore should see enough passes for WR3 consideration in ppr leagues this week. He’s not a sure start but he is an option in a top ten matchup for receivers. 5/57

  • Jeremy Maclin: Even with Nick Foles at quarterback Jeremy Maclin has a great matchup against the 30th ranked pass defense. 7/90

  • Dwayne Allen: He was only targeted twice last week but the Patriots are a top matchup for the tight end position. If Coby Fleener misses this game Allen can be considered as for a spot start against this secondary. He may be the riskiest of the tight ends listed but the Patriots are a top five matchup for the position. 4/48

  • Scott Chandler: With injuries and poor options facing good matchups Scott Chandler deserves spot start consideration. The Dolphins are a middle of the road defense against tight ends and while they’ve given up just one touchdown to the position you may not have many options this week. 5/58

  • Brent Celek: Brent Celek saw only three targets last week but he has the best matchup for tight ends when the Eagles face the Redskins. 5/61

  • Greg Olsen: A tight end friendly offense is finally producing tight end friendly results. Greg Olsen has seen 29 targets in his last four games and he gets a top ten matchup in the Buccaneers. 5/53/1

Bench

  • Jay Cutler/Jason Campbell: Whomever starts faces a top three defense against the position. Look elsewhere this week.

  • Alex Smith/ Colin Kaepernick: See Above.

  • Joe Flacco: Joe Flacco is on the road where he is a very different quarterback, don’t let last week’s performace give you false hope. Flacco is averaging 179 yards passing in away games this season with only three touchdown passes in four games.

  • Reggie Bush: He has the best matchup a running back can ask for but he’s no better than an RB3 this week with Daniel Thomas and Lamar Miller getting more plays than he did last week. You may not be able to sit Reggie Bush but he’s a risky start. 60-70 total yards

  • Mikel LeShoure/Joique Bell: Mikel LeShoure gets a top ten defense against the run and Mikel LeShoure may lose touches if the Packers get up early. 60-70 total yards may be on the high side in this contest. Joique Bell just doesn’t get enough consistent touches to trust even as a flex.

  • Ryan Mathews: Ryan Mathews has scored only one touchdown this season and has broken 100 total yards only once in the last four games. Against the 12th ranked run defense and in a game where the Chargers will face Peyton Manning, Mathews has bust potential this week. You may have to start him given bye weeks but 70 yards rushing with 4/14 receiving would be considered a solid game for this matchup.

  • Malcolm Floyd: The Broncos are a top ten defense in scoring and against the run and pass. In ppr Floyd is a serviceable WR3 but in standard scoring leagues 5/53 may not cut it.

  • Torrey Smith/Anquan Boldin: The Steelers are the top rated defense against the pass. The road woes of Joe Flacco have already been mentioned. Those woes extend to his receivers. They’ve averaged 4/44 and 4/42 respectively on the road this season.

  • Dwayne Bowe: The Bengals are a top ten unit against starting wide receivers. The Chiefs are struggling on offense and Bowe has not scored in five games.

  • Jermichael Finley: One touchdown on the season, no better than 2/31 in his last five games with only 14 targets in his last four games. He’s gone for more than 50 yards only twice this season.

  • Tight Ends: Owen Daniels, Jason Witten, Rob Gronkowski, Tony Gonzalez, Jermaine Gresham and Brandon Pettigrew all face top ten defenses against the tight end position. You won’t sit any of them but these are things fantasy owners need to know.

Start Bench Analyzer

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