Week 13: Start & Bench

11/27/2012 1:04 pm by in Fantasy Football Articles, Fantasy Football Expert Analysis, Start Bench Advice

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Playoffs are starting in some leagues. Stick with your studs! Trust your gut! Win the game! You won’t find the “usual suspects” listed here.

Start

  • Josh Freeman: The Denver Broncos have allowed multiple touchdown passes in four of their last six meetings. Josh Freeman has thrown multiple touchdown passes in six of his last seven games. It had been six straight until the Falcons stymied him last week. Freeman may not get many yards but he should be able to produce enough to use him this week. 233/2

  • Chad Henne: Buffalo has tightened up their pass defense of late but Chad Henne is on a roll with something to prove. He should continue to prove himself this week in Buffalo as the Jaguars struggle to run the ball while the Bills have given up 22 passing touchdowns. 247/2

  • Andrew Luck: This could be a high scoring affair with Andrew Luck facing off against the Lions defense and needing to throw. The Lions have surrendered multiple touchdown passes in four of their last five games. 267/2

  • Andy Dalton: Andy Dalton has thrown for multiple touchdowns in his last three games and the Chargers are ranked 20th against the pass. 244/2

  • Eli Manning: Eli Manning gets a Redskins defense that is giving up over 300 passing yards per game. 293/2

  • C.J.Spiller: C.J. Spiller has a six game streak of producing 100 total yards or more. Keep him active this week against a generous Jaguar run defense. 120 total yards with a TD

  • Beanie Wells: Beanie Wells surprisingly received the bulk of the carries last week. If he’s available in your league it’s time to add him, especially with an attractive matchup with the New York Jets on tap. the Jets have surrendered over 100 yards rushing to opposing teams in nine of eleven games this season. 78/1

  • Mikel LeShoure: Mikel LeShoure seems to produce every other week. This is that week. The Colt defense is ranked 21st against the run. 83 total yards with a TD.

  • Michael Bush: Michael Bush will be near the top of the waiver wire list for running back needy teams this week. He’ll face a Seattle defense that gave up 147 rushing yards to the Dolphins last week and have given up an average of 101 rushing ypg over their last four road games. The Bears are a top ten rushing team. He’s worth a start as a RB2/flex, if he starts. 78 total yards and a TD.

  • Steven Jackson: Steven Jackson has produced 321 rushing yards in his last three games. The last time he faced the 49ers he ran for 101 yards. If you’ve kept Jackson he’s worth a start this week as a low end RB2/flex. 83 total yards with 3 receptions.

  • Bryce Brown: If Bryce Brown starts again he’ll get a Cowboy defense missing their two starting inside linebackers. The Cowboys have surrendered either 100+ rushing yards or a TD in each of their last five games. 93 total yards and a TD.

  • Steve Johnson: Steve Johnson has a three game streak with six receptions in each game and at least 79 yards receiving. This streak should continue against the Jaguars 28th ranked pass defense. 5/83/1

  • Cecil Shorts: Cecil Shorts should continue his strong play against a middle of the road Bills defense. In his last sixa games Shorts has produced 79, 116, 56, 105, 81 and 105 yards with four touchdowns. 5/75/1

  • Pierre Garcon: Pierre Garcon gets a top five matchups for wide receivers and he is once again leading the team in targets. 5/84/1

  • Danario Alexander: Danario Alexander has become the go-to guy for the Chargers. Keep him in your lineup this week against the Bengals. 5/91

  • Eric Decker: The Bucs are last against the pass. Keep Eric Decker in your lineup as a WR2. 5/77

  • Brian Hartline: Brian Hartline will likely face off against Aqib Talib from time to time but Harline’s speed keeps him in your lineup. The matchups is just too good to pass up. 6/87/1

  • Michael Crabtree: Michael Crabtree failed to score last week ending his three game, four touchdown streak. However he faces a Rams defense he beat for 5/70/1 numbers three games ago. 5/66/1

  • Ryan Broyles: Expect Ryan Broyles’ role to expand this week. With the Colts doubling Calvin Johnson Broyles should have room to run. 5/77/1

  • Dallas Clark: The Broncos struggle to cover the tight end. 5/61/1

  • Marcedes Lewis: The Bills are a middle of the road team covering tight ends. Marcedes Lewis ir returning to fantsy value with Chad Henne at quarterback and Henne looks for Lewis in the red zone. 4/54

  • Jared Cook: Jared Cook saw eight targets last week, high for the team and great for a tight end. Don’t sit a stud for him but Cook should see some success against in top ten matchup for tight ends. 5/55

Bench

  • Philip Rivers: The Browns have held opposing quarterbacks to under 200 yards passing in four of their last five games. With 14 interceptions on the season and inconsistent Philip Rivers should be on your bench. 211/1

  • Joe Flacco: The Steelers have not allowed more than 177 passing yards in a game for the last six games. Despite being a solid play at home Joe Flacco could have another rough outing. 177/1

  • Jay Cutler: Having to pass may not be a good thing for Jay Cutler this week. The Seahawks are ranked 3rd against the pass and are 3rd overall in keeping the opposing team off the board. 201/1

  • Rashad Jennings: Rashad Jennings has not exceeded 59 rushing yards this season. Even if he starts he is just too hard to trust.

  • BenJarvus Green-Ellis: BGE has had a nice two game stretch but the Chargers are a top five unit against the run.

  • Shonn Greene: The Jets backfield looks like a timeshare right now. Given that Shonn Greene lost to goal like carries last week he’s little more than a flex, if that, against the Cardinals 23rd ranked fun defense. 55 yards.

  • Mike Wallace: If Big Ben plays Wallace will most likely be in your lineup as a WR3. If any other quarterback starts for the Steelers’ keepin mind that Wallace has not exceeded 66 yards receiving in the last six games, though two touchdowns have helped his owners during that same time span.

  • Jeremy Kerley: Jeremy Kerley faces the 4th ranked pass defense. With the focus likely being on the run Kerley could be a risky start. 4/51

  • Denarius Moore: Denarius Moore salvaged last week with a score. This week expect Joe Haden to shadow him. With declining targets in three successive games it’s tough to expect a score even against the 21st ranked pass defense. 4/55

  • Antonio Gates: In three of his last five games Antonio Gates has produced 13,17 and 14 yards receiving. The Browns lead the league in defending the tight end position and have surrendered only two touchdowns on the season to tight ends. 4/44

  • Dustin Keller: The Cardinals are the second best team in defending the tight end position. 3/34

  • Kyle Rudolph/John Carlson: Kyle Rudolph will have to pass NFL mandated concussion tests but with a matchup against the packers, who are the 4th best in the league at defending the position whomever starts for the Vikings should be on your bench.

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8 Comments so far

  1. takbax November 27th, 2012 1:07 pm

    What do you think about Amendola and Harvin? Either of them likely to play this week? Should i pick up Ty Hilton for my third WR slot. I have A.J. Green and Ryan Boyles starting? What numbers do you think Broyles will get this week?

    Also, i lost forte? I have C.J. Spiller and F. Jax. I’m thinking i could play both of them and guarantee about 25 total points. Or i could pick up Bryce Brown. Only concern is picking up Brown using waiver wire for 1 game doesn’t seem to make sense.

    Thought? Thx

  2. Tavaner November 27th, 2012 1:46 pm

    Hey takbax,

    Amendola played only seven snaps. The only way I’ll use him this week is if he practices in full on Thurs/Friday.

    Harvin’s ankle is sprained in three places…as tough as he is I don’t see him playing this week but as with Amendola, we’ll have to wait to see if he practices at all.

    Hilton has some upside as the game against the Lions should be a high scoring game. I still see him behind Avery but he could serve as a WR3/Flex this week.

    I am higher on Broyles than some and it looks like he may have moved past Young on the depth chart. We’ll know more as practices begin on Wednesday. 5/77/1

    Forte may not miss more than one game, if that.

    Brown is someone I’d start over F.Jax this week, though I can understand how the Bills’ tandem is attractive given their matchup. Supposedly F.Jax will see the smaller of a 60/40 split this week. Back to Brown, he could be the “guy” for the next few games and while TB is not an attractive matchup next week, the Bengals are the following week.

    With Forte probably being a game time decision and the Bills facing the Jags – a good matchup on paper – you can probably get away with Spiller/Jackson if you know you are in the playoffs. It comes down to depth and who you would have to cut.

    Good Luck!

  3. takbax November 29th, 2012 12:35 pm

    if harvin and amendola both can’t go this week i think i’m roll the dice with T.Y. Hilton and Ryan Broyles. Just sucks that top receivers aren’t healthy going into playoffs.

    Also, going to roll the dice on F.Jax Spiller duo.

    I locked in playoffs for this team 2 weeks ago. So i’m just fighting for #2 bye week spot now. Crossing my fingers.

  4. Tavaner November 29th, 2012 3:47 pm

    Sound good takbax. Good Luck in the playoffs!

  5. Rick Sonn November 30th, 2012 8:09 am

    B Brown or H Nicks?

    nonppr…

    whos starting this wk for me?

    Thank you.

  6. Tavaner November 30th, 2012 9:27 am

    Hey Rick,

    Not sure who you are starting ahead of Brown at RB but Nicks has the best matchup you can ask for a WR to have. This is a coin flip, imo. Brown got 24 touches last game, he should get a similar workload this week. I’d have to go with the RB but I’d like to know your starting lineup.

  7. Rick Sonn November 30th, 2012 10:28 am

    Thanks Tavaner,
    nonppr/flex:

    In one league, I’m starting Lynch and Spiller and have the choice of BBrown, MReece or McFadden, DMurray, Cobb

    In another league, I’m starting Lynch and DMartin and have the choice of BBrown, DMurray, HNicks

    Thanks again!

  8. Tavaner December 1st, 2012 6:13 am

    Thanks Rick,

    In the first league Reece would start for me if McFadden doesn’t play – that is a late afternoon game. You can go with Reece if he starts and while the Brown ‘s have shut down the Cowboy and Steeler run game during the last two weeks, over their last four road games they are giving up an average of 132 ypg on the ground but only 3 touchdowns. Running backs have had some success receiving and that is Reece’s game. He’d total over 100 yards if he’s the starter and McFadden out.

    Brown plays Sunday night – he’s the option if McFadden plays. He got 24 touches last game and the Cowboys have given up seven rushing touchdowns in the last seven games.

    Cobb has had a nice run but with Jennings likely back we don’t know how the targets will play out. I’d start an RB over Cobb in standard leagues.

    In the second league it’s a tougher decision. Here’s it’s an early game vs Brown’s Sunday night game.

    Nicks has 14 receptions/ 27 targets in his last two games and the Redskins are the #1 opponent for WRs. He may have a better chance of scoring multiple touchdowns than your other option – Brown who could produce as many yards and will be more of a focal point of the offense.

    I trust the Giant offense with Manning more than the Eagle offense with Foles but it is a coin flip. I’d go with the stud – Nicks – but can’t make an argument against Brown.

    These are all great options, congrats on building a team with depth – Good Luck!

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