Danny Amendola (WR)

03/18/2013 6:10 pm by in Fantasy Football Expert Analysis, Player Spotlights, Wide Receivers

danny amendola

What can fantasy owners expect from Danny Amendola in 2013? He signed a five year contract with the New England Patriots and is expected to step into the slot receiver role for the Patriots. Amendola is reported to have better quickness, long speed and hands than Welker but owners and fans should not expect Amendola to replace Welker’s production. He currently doesn’t have the experience nor is he used to that heavy workload, though it would be fair to say that same was true for Welker before 2007.

The Patriot offense employs the slot receiver mostly between the twenty’s. It is designed to get the ball quickly to the receiver either behind the line of scrimmage or within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage; last season Welker produced 19/179 and 67/634 respectively. That is a much heavier workload than Amendola is used to.

The biggest knock on Amendola is his durability. Can he stay healthy? That is a risk fantasy owners will have to live with if they decide to draft him and to be fair, at some point Amendola’s value in a ppr league will be too good to pass up. Unfortunately, fantasy owners should be willing to immediately back him up with another viable alternative.

The Patriot offense should provide a healthy Amendola with between 140-150 targets. If Amendola stays healthy and true to form he has a chance for between 90 – 100+ catches this season. For Amendola to produce 1000 yards receiving he’ll have to produce more yards than the 8.8 he has with the Rams. That may be a function of defenses keying on Amendola and his surrounding talent, but we don’t know. For fantasy purposes we will stay with what we’ve seen, give him a slight bump for the QB, offensive line and downfield blocking and surrounding talent and put him at 10 ypc. Anything more is gravy and he could just as easily remain a 8.8 ypc guy.

In the end Danny Amendola is similar to Wes Welker but he won’t replace him offensively. In ppr leagues Amendola is a WR3 with upside, same with dynasty ppr leagues. Do not overpay to acquire him! In standard scoring leagues Amendola looks like a high end WR4. As the off season progresses take note of any time Amendola and Brady spend together getting in sync, that is key and something Welker and Brady did regularly.

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