The Undervalued Wide Receiver Class of 2012 – BOLD Prediction

08/10/2013 11:34 am by in Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Articles, Fantasy Football Expert Analysis

bold predictions

Undervalued wide receivers and 2nd year receivers Alshon Jeffery, Michael Floyd and Ryan Broyles all finish as Top 25 receivers.

Receivers tend to lose a lot of their rookie “glimmer” after their rookie season. This means there are opportunities to grab exciting 2nd year receivers in later rounds of your draft. It’s not even funny how undervalued guys are. Some of my favorites unappreciated receivers are Alshon Jeffery, Michael Floyd, and Ryan Broyles. All of these guys are going into their 2nd season and in my opinion are primed for great years. Rookies, especially in dynasty formats are always at a premium, and 2nd years are often forgotten about. Rookie receivers rarely have spectacular years, and it takes a year or two to really learn the nuances of the position. You owe it to your dynasty team to capitalize on these under valued receivers, especially in dynasty formats.

Alshon Jeffery

Alshon Jeffery’s current average dynasty draft position (ADP) is 42nd. The 23 year old #2 receiver in a Marc Trestman aerial assault offense in the 43rd ranked WR? This doesn’t make sense to me. Jeffery has the body and the potential to be a clone of teammate Brandon Marshall, and evolve into a big time receiver. The average ADP of DeAndre Hopkins, an unproven rookie is a full 15 spots ahead all the way up at 27th. In my mind Jeffery deserves to be much higher. I recently drafted him in the late 10th round of a dynasty league, which I consider a steal.

All Alshon Jeffery did in college was dominate the SEC with his physical style of play and deceptive deep speed. Jeffery’s sophomore year he went for 88 catches 1517 yards and 9 touchdowns. If he could have come out of college at that point, he likely would have been a top 5 pick. Standing 6-3 and now weighing 216 pounds Jeffery is a nightmare to guard for smaller corners, he can beat you deep, and contort his body to make acrobatic catches. Maybe the biggest plus to Jeffery’s value is his new head coach Marc Trestman who loves to throw the ball all over the field. Jeffery should see his fair share of targets being the Bears #2 receiver, I’ll even predict he receives triple digit targets this year. After working out with fellow receiver Brandon Marshall, Jeffery looks to be in superb shape, and poised to have a big 2013 campaign.

Michael Floyd

Michael Floyd’s current ADP in a dynasty format is 37th. The 2nd year physical receiver out of Notre Dame is coming off of a rookie year in which he pulled down 45 passes for 562 yards and 2 touchdowns. After learning from Larry Fitzgerald for a year, Floyd is listed as the Cardinal’s #2 receiver. In Bruce Arians’ new pass first offense Floyd should have an increasing role, and flourish in the system. Even after a strong rookie campaign and a favorable offense, Floyd is 4 spots behind untested (and really unproven) rookie Cordarrelle Patterson who’s ADP is 33rd. Patterson only played 1 year of division 1 football and only caught 46 balls last year at Tennessee. Being in Minnesota (or Peterson country) Patterson is also in a run first offense, so he shouldn’t see too many passes coming his way. There’s no denying that Patterson possess incredible athleticism, but for him to be drafted higher than a proven receiver like Floyd who caught over 100 balls in his senior year at Notre Dame, and 45 his rookie year is absurd to me.

Much like Jeffery, Floyd possesses an excellent ability to shield the defender with his body and make sure handed catches. Floyd is a big body and can elevate and make catches in traffic, along with the ability to make defenders miss after the catch. If Floyd could haul in 45 passes last year, imagine what he can do with improved quarterback play. Look for Floyd to continue to improve and put up big numbers for years to come.

Ryan Broyles

Ryan Broyles’ current ADP in a dynasty format is 54th, a full 20 spots behind Tavon Austin at 34th. Austin has PPR league owners salivating at his 288 career college catches and 114 catches his senior year. Most of you probably think that’s way more than Broyles’ had in college, and you would be wrong. Broyles SHATTERED the all-time NCAA FBS record for catches in college with 349, catching a staggering 131 balls one year. So why isn’t he getting the hype Austin? Again I’m not bashing the rookie class of receivers, their great players, I’m just making the point that the 2012 class is undervalued. You can scoop Broyles up late in dynasty league drafts, and most likely free agency in re-draft leagues.

Broyles is in a great position to succeed in pass happy Detroit. Being in the slot Broyles should benefit from all of the double, and triple (quadruple?!) coverage on Calvin Johnson. Broyles is a high character and hard working guy, and should continue to improve his game. He’s quick, dynamic, and obviously has sure hands. Look for Broyles to be a hot free agent pick up over the year, and his catches to climb into the 60s or 70s as long as he can stay healthy.

Keep in mind I also think Justin Blackmon and Rueben Randle will also eventually be stand out receivers, but with Blackmon being in Jacksonville, and Randle competing for targets I don’t think they’ll have as strong of a year as the previous receivers.

Be sure to keep an eye on these sophomore receivers in your drafts and be sure to do research of your own on the value differences between the often over valued rookies, and undervalued sophomore players.

Let me know in the comment section who you think can have a breakout year, and what you think about rookie player’s value! I’ll be sure to respond!

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